MEPS Predicts Record
High for Global Stainless Steel Production in 2017
MEPS forecasts that world
crude stainless steel output will reach an all-time high of 47.5
million tonnes in calendar year 2017. This would represent a 3.8
percent increase on the previous record figure, set last year. MEPS
expects continued growth in global production in 2018. A new peak
volume of 49 million tonnes is forecast for next year.
China’s outturn during the second quarter was lower than MEPS’
previous estimate, as mills cut back production, in an effort to
comply with the government’s environmental targets. Recently
published statistics by the China Stainless Steel Council indicate
that output recovered strongly, in the July/September period.
Crude stainless steel production, in Japan, is foreseen at 3.125
million tonnes, in total, this year – an increase of just one
percent, compared with the 2016 figure. MEPS’ forecast for 2018 is
for the addition of a further 50,000 tonnes.
Output in South Korea is expected to develop strongly, this year,
after a moderate performance, in 2016. Growth of nearly 5 percent,
to a total of 2.375 million tonnes, is anticipated for this calendar
year. A similar scale of expansion is predicted for next year.
Taiwan’s robust recovery continues. After recording a rise of nearly
14 percent, last year, the country’s annual outturn is forecast to
increase by a further 9 percent, in 2017. Another strong result,
with around a 7 percent rise, is foreseen in 2018.
Output in the United States, during the second quarter, was higher
than MEPS’ previous estimate. As a result, MEPS has upgraded its
forecast for the 2017 annual total, to 2.75 million tonnes. This
would equate to a year-on-year increase of more than 10 percent.
MEPS anticipates moderate growth, of around 100,000 tonnes, next
Production in the European Union, during the three months from April
to June, turned out to be slightly lower than had been anticipated.
MEPS has, consequently, revised its expected total, for 2017,
downward, to 7.35 million tonnes – an increase of less than one
percent, compared with the outturn in the previous twelve months.
European mills are expected to be busier, in 2018, than in the
current year. MEPS predicts an annual output of around 7.5 million
tonnes, next year.
Source: MEPS -
Review - October 2017 Issue
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